[gov3009-l] Applied Statistics Workshop: Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez on Wednesday, Nov. 16

Konstantin Kashin kkashin at fas.harvard.edu
Mon Nov 14 00:32:02 EST 2011

Dear all,

Please join us for the Applied Statistics Workshop (Gov 3009) this
Wednesday, November 16 from 12.00 - 1.30 pm in CGIS Knafel Room 354. Hiram
Beltrán-Sánchez, a postdoctoral research fellow at the USC Davis School of
Gerontology and at the Harvard Center for Population and Development
Studies, will give a talk entitled "New Evidence Linking Early and
Late-life Mortality in European Cohorts". As always, a light lunch will be


*Early environmental influences on later life health and mortality are well
recognized. Using mortality data from 630 cohorts born throughout the 19th
and early 20th century in nine European countries, we fitted a multilevel
model to further explore the association between early life mortality with
both the estimated mortality level at age 40 and the exponential (Gompertz)
acceleration in mortality rates with age. Our findings strongly link early
life mortality to both the cohort mortality level in mid-adulthood and the
Gompertz rate of mortality acceleration during aging. Recent cohorts
exposed to lower mortality environments early in life also showed lower
mortality levels in adulthood. However, these gains were diminished by
faster mortality accelerations at older age. Thus recent increases in adult
survival are mainly due to declines in adult mortality levels rather than
changes in the rate of aging. This analysis defines new links in the
developmental origins of adult health and disease in which effects of early
exposure to infections persist to adulthood and remain evident in the
cohort rates of mortality at later ages.*

An up-to-date schedule for the workshop is available at


Konstantin Kashin
Ph.D. Student in Government
Harvard University

Mobile: 978-844-0538
E-mail: kkashin at fas.harvard.edu
Site: http://people.fas.harvard.edu/~kkashin/
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