Dear all,
Please join us for the Applied Statistics Workshop (Gov 3009) this
Wednesday, September 28 from 12.00 - 1.30 pm in CGIS Knafel Room 354. Arthur
Spirling, Assistant Professor at the Department of Government at Harvard
University, will present a paper entitled "Partisan Convergence in
Executive-Legislative Interactions: Modeling Debates in the House of
Commons, 1832-1915". As always, a light lunch will be provided.
The abstract for the presentation is:
*We consider the interaction between members of the executive and
backbenchers in the House of Commons between the Great Reform Act and the
Great War, a period of radical internal reform that birthed the Westminster
system in its current form. We gather new data of over a million speeches in
seventeen thousand debates to model the way in which the cabinet-legislative
relationship changed over time. In particular, we conceptualize debates as
Markov chains moving between speaker states and focus on estimating
transition probabilities of the same. We take a Bayesian mixed model
approach, allowing for debate-level and ministry-level variation. We show a
remarkable "convergence" in the behavior of ministers from different
parties, beginning between the mid-1870s and late-1880s and coinciding with
a series of important standing orders relating to the ability to ask
questions in the Commons. While Tory ministers generally become more
responsive, Liberal ministers are less involved in debate.*
An up-to-date schedule for the workshop is available at
http://www.iq.harvard.edu/events/node/1208.
Best,
Konstantin
--
Konstantin Kashin
Ph.D. Student in Government
Harvard University
Mobile: 978-844-0538
E-mail: kkashin(a)fas.harvard.edu
Site:
http://people.fas.harvard.edu/~kkashin/