Dear Applied Statistics Workshop Community,
Just a quick reminder, our next meeting is Wednesday, April 3 (12:00 EST).
Zeyang Yu will present "A Binary IV Model for Persuasion: Profiling
Persuasion Types among Compliers."
<When>
April 3, 12:00 to 1:30 PM, EST
Lunch will be available for pick-up inside CGIS K354.
<Where>
In-person: CGIS K354
Zoom:
https://harvard.zoom.us/j/93217566507?pwd=elBwYjRJcWhlVE5teE1VNDZoUXdjQT09
<Abstract>
In the empirical study of persuasion, researchers often use a binary
instrument to encourage individuals to consume information and take some
action. We show that with the Imbens-Angrist instrumental variable model
assumptions and the monotone treatment response assumption, it is possible
to identify the joint distributions of potential outcomes among compliers.
This is necessary to identify the percentage of persuaded individuals and
their statistical characteristics. Specifically, we develop a weighting
method that helps researchers identify the statistical characteristics of
persuasion types: compliers and always-persuaded, compliers and persuaded,
and compliers and never-persuaded. These findings extend the ”κ weighting”
results in Abadie (2003). We also provide a sharp test on the two sets of
identification assumptions. The test boils down to testing whether there
exists a nonnegative solution to a possibly under-determined system of
linear equations with known coefficients. An application based on Green et
al. (2003) is provided. The result shows that among compliers, roughly 10%
voters are persuaded. The results are consistent with the findings that
voters’ voting behaviors are highly persistent.
Link to the paper: yu_2023local.pdf
<https://arthurzeyangyu.github.io/jmp/yu_2023local.pdf>
<2023-2024 Schedule>
GOV 3009 Website:
https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/applied.stats.workshop-gov3009
Calendar:
https://calendar.google.com/calendar/u/0?cid=Y18zdjkzcGF2OWZqa2tsZHJidTlzbm…
Best,
Jialu
--
Jialu Li
Department of Government
Harvard University
*https://jialul.github.io/ <https://jialul.github.io/>*