Hi all,
This week at the Applied Statistics workshop we will be welcoming David Parkes, the George
F. Colony Professor of Computer Science and Area Dean for Computer Science at Harvard
University. He will be presenting work entitled "Long-term causal effects via
behavioral game theory." Please find the abstract below and on the website. The
paper can be found here:
https://arxiv.org/abs/1501.02315
We will meet in CGIS Knafel Room 354 at noon and lunch will be provided.
Best,
Pam
Title: Long-term causal effects via behavioral game theory
Abstract: Random experiments are the gold standard in reliably comparing the causal effect
of switching from a baseline policy to a new policy on socio-economic platforms. One
critical shortcoming of classical methods,
however, is that they do not take into account the dynamic nature of response to policy
changes and may fail to capture long-term effects. We formalize a framework to define and
estimate long-term causal effects of policy changes in multiagent economies, using
behavioral game theory and a latent space approach, where a model of how agents act
conditional on latent behaviors is combined with a temporal model of how behaviors evolve
over time.
To appear in NIPS 2016. Joint work with Panos Toulis, Econometrics and
Statistics, University of Chicago, Booth School.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1501.02315