Dear Applied Statistics Workshop Community,
Our next meeting of the semester will be at *12:10 pm (EST) Wednesday, Apr
20*, where Katharina Fellnhofer
<https://sociology.fas.harvard.edu/people/katharina-fellnhofer> (Harvard
University) presents "A framework for measuring intuitive decision making
in real-world contexts."
*Abstract*
Intuition refers to the ability to use nonconscious information for
conscious decision making. The nonconscious element has predominantly been
measured by its speed of operation and ease of application. Only a few
scholarly attempts at behavioral measuring take nonconsciousness into
account, and they use situations that do not represent the real world,
which limits generalization. In my talk, I will present the results of my
intuition measurement using a within-subject design with real investment
opportunities that employ hidden images as nonconscious information to
trigger intuition. My experiments were conducted entirely online from July
to September 2021 in Europe and the United States. I will provide an
overview of my current Bayesian analysis of 62,721 real-world investment
decisions made by 657 subjects representing similar proportions of
financiers, entrepreneurs, and non-entrepreneurs, all recruited via
Prolific. I will also discuss additional ideas that could enrich our
understanding of how to measure skills at using nonconscious information
for conscious, real-world decision making. As such, my presentation will
focus on my existing analytical results, my intentions for future analysis,
and my plans for a new project, with the dual aims of sharing what my team
and I have learned so far and receiving valuable early-stage suggestions
for improvement and feedback from Applied Statistics Workshop participants.
*Where:* CGIS Knafel Building, Room K354
(See this link <https://map.harvard.edu/?bld=04471&level=9> for directions).
*When:* Wednesday, Apr 20 at 12:10 - 1:30 pm.
(The participants can now choose to eat the bagged lunch inside the room
before the presentation starts. You may also pick up the lunch from 11:30
am and eat outside if you wish.)
*Zoom link*:
https://harvard.zoom.us/j/97004196610?pwd=eGFydkF5RDRjUlk5RVcyTjV6OStUQT09
(For the participants who cannot join the session physically.)
*Schedule of the workshop*:
https://projects.iq.harvard.edu/applied.stats.workshop-gov3009
Looking forward to seeing you all on Wednesday!
Best,
Sooahn